Mecone Miami home value: monthly rollover
6 real monthly rolls · seam 2.554% mean / 6.267% max
Polymarket monthly family (7 events), real price history, front-month stitch
span: 6moobservations: 250seam max / mean: 6.267% / 2.554%
Regional version of the rollover study: consecutive monthly Miami home-value ladders stitched front-month style. Regional indices are exactly what venues co-design with us.
Roll seams
| Roll into | Seam ($) | Seam (%) |
|---|---|---|
| march-1 | +31.121k | +2.799% |
| april-1 | +10.159k | +0.876% |
| april-30 | +75.473k | +6.267% |
| may-31 | +37.256k | +3.198% |
| june-30 | +7.284k | +0.634% |
| september-30 | -17.444k | -1.552% |
A naive front-month switch prints these seams. The live index does not switch naively: the anchored glide re-anchors on the latest official print at each roll, so the discontinuity is absorbed, not published.
Walk-forward on real Polymarket history · no look-ahead · 7-day staleness cutoff · raw artifact